Here is something that I wrote a month back. The initial post has some intro text, but later post has some advice which I felt has worked for me at times. It is a long post (15 min read), so feel free to skim around, and go for text in bold if you want.
https://littleblah.com/post/2019-08-31-perils-of-date-estimations/
submitted by /u/_1_1_1_1_1
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